Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction and preview

Toulouse vs Strasbourg

Ligue 1 · Friday 6 November 2026, 19:45 UTC · Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

Toulouse · Strasbourg · Ligue 1 predictions

Toulouse host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Stadium de Toulouse. Toulouse are 12th in the table with 10 points from 9, while Strasbourg go into the round 13th, on 10 points from 9 games.

Toulouse have collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 league games; Strasbourg have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats over the same stretch. Over their last 6, Toulouse have scored 1.7 and conceded 1.3 goals per game, with 4 of those matches going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3. Strasbourg average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 6, with 0 clean sheets.

The sides have met 10 times in the records we hold: Toulouse won 3, 2 games were drawn and Strasbourg won 5. Those games averaged 2.6 goals, 6 finished with more than 2.5 goals and both teams scored in 6. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, ended Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse.

Toulouse are without Rafik Messali (injury) and Aron Dønnum (suspension). Rafik Messali and Aron Dønnum have featured heavily in recent matches. Strasbourg are without Joaquín Panichelli (injury) and Fábio Baldé (injury). Joaquín Panichelli has featured heavily in recent matches. Mathieu Vernice is the appointed referee. Across 65 earlier matches in our data the average is 4.1 yellow cards per game and 0.4 penalties per game, and home sides won 46% of those games.

This is one of the free forecasts on FootballPlazza: our model rates Toulouse 46%, the draw 23% and Strasbourg 32%, with a 64% chance of more than 2.5 goals. Bookmaker prices, with the margin removed, imply 47%, 25% and 28%. Probabilities describe uncertainty; they are not guarantees.